Preview

International Trends / Mezhdunarodnye protsessy

Advanced search

Russian Trade with Africa: New Features in the Context of the “Sanctions War” between Moscow with the West

https://doi.org/10.17994/IT.2018.16.4.55.1

Abstract

The article analyses dynamics and structure of Russian foreign trade with Africa in 2013-2017. It is revealed that the rapid growth of foreign trade with Russia was provided mainly by several North African countries. The study of three dozen African countries shows that the growth of trade turnover is accompanied by large fluctuations year by year in Russian exports – due to the unstable supply of militarytechnical products, as well as grain, fertilizers, ferrous metals, etc. (and almost every country had its own specifics). In 2017 Russia's exports to Africa were 5.6 times more than its imports from Africa. There are 6 countries in the top 20 suppliers from Africa to Russia that were not included in the top 20 buyers of Russian goods. For instance, Gabon's exports to Russia exceeded the counter flow of goods by almost 46 times, Zambia’s exports – by 33 times, Zimbabwe’s exports – by 20 times, etc. This means that Russian producers have not yet mastered the markets of many countries that are able to make a solvent demand for imported goods. This is partly due to the low competitiveness of Russian products or the lack of production of goods necessary for Africans in Russia, but also the inability to push suppliers from China, the United States, former European metropolises, and sometimes from neighboring African countries. The novelty of our research approach consists in the analysis of changes in Russia's trade relations with Africa in terms of direct and indirect effects of the “sanctions war” with Western countries and competitive pressure from China. In general, the inertia of Russian business is observed, which is only now beginning to consider the intensification of relations with Africa as an option to adapt to the “sanctions war” with the West. At the same time, the increase in the price competition of Russian industrial goods due to the devaluation of the ruble and the intensification of imports of African fruits and vegetables had a slight impact on the growth of Russian-African trade in comparison to the intensification of military-technical cooperation, the supply of Russian grain and even produced cars in Russia (including foreign brands).

About the Author

Alexey Kuznetsov
Primakov’s Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

Prof. Dr Alexey Kuzentsov - Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Deputy Director, Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Moscow 117997



References

1. Abramova I.O. (2017). Rossiya – Afrika: vizovi i vozmozhnosti v novih global’nih realiyah [Russia and Africa: Challenges and Opportunities in New Global Realities]. Aziya i Afrika segodnya. No. 12. P. 3–7.

2. Abramova I., Fituni L. (2017). Potentsial afrikanskogo kontinenta v stragegii razvitiya rossiyskoy ekonomiki [Potential of the African Continent in the Development Strategy of the Russian Economy]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. Vol. 61. No. 9. P. 24–5.

3. Abramova I.O., Fituni L.L. (2016). “Afrikanskaya delovaya initsiativa” – prakticheskij shag k aktivnomu vzaimodeystviyu Rossii i Afriki [“African Business Initiative” as a Practical Step towards Interaction between Russia and Africa]. Aziya i Afrika segodnya. No. 9. P. 2–5.

4. Abramova I.O., Fituni L.L. (2015). Afrika i Rossiya: perspektivy sotrudnichestva v novykh istoricheskikh usloviyah [Africa and Russia: Prospects of Cooperation in New Historical Circumstances]. Vestnik Rossijskogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta im. G.V. Plekhanova. No. 6. P. 141–150.

5. Abramova I.O., Fituni L.L. (eds.) (2016). Afrika i natsional’niye interesy Rossii [Africa and National Interests of Russia]. Moscow: Institut Afriki. 150 p.

6. Bamba V. (2017). Kot-d’Ivuar i Rossiya: perspektivi torgovo-ekonomicheskogo sotrudnichestva [Cote d’Ivoire and Russia: Prospects of Trade and Economic Cooperation]. Aziya i Afrika segodnya. No. 6. P. 51–54.

7. Deych T.L. (2015). Regional’naya politika BRIKS v Afrike [Regional Policy of BRICS in Africa]. Vestnik mezhdunarodnykh organizatsij: obrazovanie, nauka, novaya ekonomika. Vol. 10. No. 2. P. 206–228.

8. Fidan H., Aras B. (2010). The Return of Russia-Africa Relations. Bilig. Vol. 52. Winter. P. 47–68.

9. Korendyasov Ye.N. (2016). Atomno-energeticheskiy rinok Afriki: rol’ i mesto Rossii [Nuclear Energy Market of Africa: Role and Place of Russia]. Aziya i Afrika segodnya. No. 3. P. 2–6.

10. Korendyasov Ye.N. (2015a). Voenno-technicheskoye sotrudnichestvo Rossii s Afrikoj [Military-technical Cooperation of Russia with Africa]. Aziya i Afrika segodnya. No. 9. P. 9–18; No. 10. P. 8–16.

11. Korendyasov Ye.N. (2015b). Rossiya vozvraschayetsya v Afriku? [Russia Is Coming Back to Africa?]. Aziya i Afrika segodnya. No. 5. P. 2–9.

12. Kuznetsov A.V. (2017). Prospects of Diversifying Russian Direct Investment Abroad. Studies on Russian Economic Development. Vol. 28. No. 1. P. 79–86.

13. Lopatov V.V. (2008). Problemi uchastiya Rossii v osvoyenii neftegazovih i mineral’no-siryevih resursov Afriki [Problems of Russian Participation in Resource Exploration of Oil, Gas and Other Mineral Resources of Africa]. Rossijskij vneshneekonomicheskij vestnik. No. 9. P. 49–55; No. 10. P. 16–25.

14. Lopatov V. (2006). Rossiya i Afrika: kto komu boleye nuzhen? [Russia and Africa: Who Is More Important for Whom?]. Mir Peremen. No. 2. P. 45–58.

15. Morozenskaya Ye.V. (2017). Vneshneekonomicheskaya politika afrikanskih gosudarstv v 2010-e godi: potentsial vzaimnoy torgovli Rossii i Afriki [Foreign Economic Policy of African States in the 2010s: Potential of Mutual Trade between Russia and Africa]. Uchyoniye Zapiski Instituta Afriki RAN. No. 1. P. 37–44.

16. Novikova Z.S. (2017). Rossiyskiye telekommunikatsionniye kompanii v Afrike [Russian Telecommunication Companies in Africa]. Uchyoniye Zapiski Instituta Afriki RAN. No. 1. P. 56–63.

17. Olivier G., Suchkov D. (2015). Russia is Back in Africa. Strategic Review for Southern Africa. Vol. 37. No. 2. P. 146–167.

18. Trofimova O., Schedrin A. (2015). Ekonomicheskiye prioritety otnosheniy Rossii i Afriki yuzhneye Sakhari [Economic Priorities of Relations between Russia and Sub-Saharan Africa]. Mezhdunarodnye protsessy. Vol. 13. No. 43. P. 122–134.

19. Volodina M.A. (2017). Ekonomicheskiye interesi Rossii v Severnoj Afrike [Economic Interests of Russia in the North Africa]. Vestnik Diplomaticheskoj akademii MID Rossii. Rossiya i mir. No. 2. P. 103–116.

20. Zherlitsina N.A. (2015). Rossiya i Yegipet: tsel’ – strategicheskoye sotrudnichestvo [Russia and Egypt: their Aim is Strategic Cooperation]. Aziya i Afrika segodnya. No. 7. P. 4–8.


Review

For citations:


Kuznetsov A. Russian Trade with Africa: New Features in the Context of the “Sanctions War” between Moscow with the West. International Trends / Mezhdunarodnye protsessy. 2018;16(4):6-19. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17994/IT.2018.16.4.55.1

Views: 73


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 1728-2756 (Print)
ISSN 1811-2773 (Online)