Preview

International Trends / Mezhdunarodnye protsessy

Advanced search

Facets of Interdependency in Russia-US Relations

https://doi.org/10.17994/IT.2020.18.2.61.4

Abstract

The appliance of interdependence concepts in the International Relations studies can hardly be regarded as something new. However, slowing down globalization and rising international tensions even among partner or allied states make rethinking of these concepts relevant. The notion that interdependence may ease tensions was put under question and opposed by the idea that interdependence may become a source of conflict. Scholars also missed their focus on conceptualization of interdependence forgetting that it was not a product of globalization, rather a result of the Cold War era. Thus, it can be applied to relations not only between partner countries, but also rivals, as was in the case of the U.S.-Soviet relations. The dense fabric of bilateral agreements, institutions, and regimes in various fields (primarily in security domain) prevented superpowers from a destructive conflict. After the collapse of the bipolar world, both states tried to consolidate the legacy of interdependence by increasing cooperation, transferring relations from mutual assured destruction to sustainable partnership, from deterrence to security community. However, structural changes in world politics reshaped Russian-American relations. Unlike the Cold War period with its unique U.S.-Soviet interdependence model, which served as a necessary precondition for lasting peace, contemporary Russian, as well as American decision-makers do not tend to estimate cooperation between two countries as critical in terms of national security and conflict prevention. In contrast, they are more likely to treat bilateral relations as too costly and burdening. Moscow and Washington increasingly prefer to be unbound in achieving their short- or long-term political goals and choose the way of unilateral decisions and actions with no corresponding with the counterpart. These risky policies of mutual neglect increase the likelihood of future conflict between the two powers.

About the Author

Yu. I. Nadtochey
MGIMO University
Russian Federation

Yuriy I. Nadtochey - Dr., Associate Professor, Department of World Politics

Moscow 119454



References

1. (2010). Otnosheniya s SSHA. Problemy vzaimnoj i obshchej bezopasnosti. Otvechaya na vyzov vremeni / Vneshnyaya politika perestrojki: dokumental'nye svidetel'stva. Po zapisyam besed Gorbacheva s zarubezhnymi deyatelyami i drugim materialam. [Relations with the USA. Mutual and Common Security issues. Responding to the Challenge of Time. Foreign policy of Perestroika: Documentary Evidence. According to the Records of Gorbachev’s Conversations with Foreign Figures and Other Materials]. Moscow, VES MIR. 944 p. Acton J., Arbatov A., Dvorkin V., Topychkanov P., Zhao T., Bin L. (2017). Entanglement: Chinese and Russian Perspectives on Non-nuclear Weapons and Nuclear Risks. Washington: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. 94 p.

2. Allison G. (1989). Primitive Rules of Prudence: Foundations of Peaceful Competition. In Allison G.T., Ury W., Allyn B. J. (eds.) Window of Opportunity: From Cold War to Peaceful Competition in U.S.-Soviet Relations. Cambridge: Ballinger Publications. P. 9–38.

3. Axelrod R. (1984). The Evolution of Cooperation. New York: Basic Books. 241 p.

4. Axelrod R., Keohane R. (1985). Achieving Cooperation under Anarchy: Strategies and Institutions. World Politics. Vol. 38. No. 1. P. 226–254.

5. Baldwin D.A. (1980) Interdependence and Power: a Conceptual Analysis. International Organization. Vol. 34. No. 4. P. 471–506.

6. Batyuk V.I. (2007). Rezhimy v rossijsko-amerikanskikh otnosheniyakh. [Regimes in Russian-American Relations]. Vestnik RUDN. Seriya: Politologiya. No 1. P. 52–66.

7. Barbieri K. (1996). Economic Interdependence: A Path to Peace or a Source of Interstate Conflict? Journal of Peace Research Vol. 33. No. 1. Р. 29–49.

8. Bogaturov A.D. (2002). Plyuralisticheskaya odnopolyarnost’ [Pluralist Unipolarity]. In: Ocherki teorii i politicheskogo analiza mezhdunarodnykh otnoshenij. Moscow: NOFMO. P. 283–296.

9. Goodby J. E., Buwalda P., Trenin D. (2002). A Strategy for Stable Peace: Toward a Euroatlantic Security Community. Washington: United States Institute of Peace Press. 192 p.

10. Cichock M. A. (1999). Interdependence and Manipulation in Russia-Baltic Relationship: 1993-97 // Journal of Baltic Studies. Vol. 30. No. 2. P. 89–116.

11. Clemens W. (2011). Can Russia Change? The USSR Confronts Global Interdependence. London: Routledge. 241 p.

12. Clemens W. (1978). U. S. S. R. and Global Interdependence: Alternative Futures. Washington: American Enterprise Institute. 113 p.

13. Clemens W. (1973). The Superpowers and Arms Control: From Cold War to Interdependence. Lexington: D. C. Heath and Co.180 p.

14. Davydov A.Yu. (2015). Problemy i ogranicheniya rossijsko-amerikanskikh ekonomicheskikh otnoshenij [Problems and Limits in Russian-American Economic Relations]. SSHA i Kanada: ekonomika, politika, kul'tura. No. 2. P. 3–16.

15. Dynkin A., Burrows М. (eds.). (2016). Global System on the Brink: Pathways toward a New Normal. Moscow, Primakov IMEMO. 194 p.

16. Druckman D. (2019). Unilateral diplomacy: Trump and the sovereign state. Negotiation Journal. Vol. 35. Issue 1. P. 101–105.

17. Farrell H., Newman A.L. (2019). Weaponized Interdependence: How Global Economic Networks Shape State Coercion. International Security. Vol. 44. No. 1. P. 42–79.

18. Gatti T. (1991). The UN Rediscovered: Soviet and American Policy in the United Nations of the 1990s. In: Jervis R., Bialer S. (eds) Soviet-American Relations After the Cold War. Durham: Duke University Press. P. 197–223.

19. Gasiorowski M., Polachek S. (1982). Conflict and Interdependence. East-West Trade and Linkages in the Era of Détente. Journal of Conflict Resolution. Vol. 26. No. 4. P. 712–713.

20. Gerasimov V. V. (2013). Tsennost’ nauki v predvidenii. [The Value of Science in Foresight]. Voennopromyshlennyj kur'er. No. 8. URL: https://www.vpk-news.ru/articles/14632

21. Glaser Ch. (2010). Rational Theory of International Politics: the logic of competition and cooperation. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 314 p.

22. Gottlieb St., Lorber E. (2014). The Dark Side of Interdependence How Global Ties Tied Our Hands in Russia. Foreign Affairs. URL: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/russian-federation/2014-08-05/dark-side-interdependence (accessed: 12.12.2019).

23. Grais W., Zheng K. (1996). Strategic Interdependence in European East-West Gas Trade: A Hierarchical Stackelberg Game Approach. The Energy Journal. Vol. 17. No. 3. P. 61–84.

24. Gromyko An., Lomejko V. (1985). Novoe myshlenie v yadernyj vek. [New Thinking in Nuclear Century]. Moscow: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. 292 p.

25. Goldgeier J. M. McFaul M. (2003). Power and Purpose: U.S. Policy toward Russia After the Cold War. Washington: Brookings. 467 p.

26. Goldman K., Sjöstedt G. M. (1979). Power, Capabilities, Interdependence: Problems in the Study of International Influence. London: Sage Publications. 300 p.

27. Hardt J.P., Holliday G.D., Kim Y.C. (1974). Western Investment in Communist Economies. A Selected Survey on Economic Interdependence. Prepared for the Subcommittee on Multinational Corporations. Washington: United States Senate. 83 p.

28. Hirshman A. (1945). National Power and the Structure of Foreign Trade (The Politics of the International Economy). L.A.: University of California Press. 170 p.

29. Ivanov I. (2012). «Perezagruzka» v rossijsko-amerikanskih otnosheniyah: takticheskij shag ili strategicheskij vybor? [Reset in Russia-US Relations: Tactical Step or Strategic Choice] The Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC). URL: https://russiancouncil.ru/analytics-and-comments/comments/perezagruzkav-rossiysko-amerikanskikh-otnosheniyakh-taktich/

30. Jamgotch N. (ed.) (1985). Sectors of Mutual Benefit in U.S.-Soviet Relations. Durham, NC: Duke University Press. 254 p.

31. Jervis R. (1978). Cooperation Under Security Dilemma. World Politics. Vol. 30. No. 2. P. 167–214.

32. Johnson J. (2008). Forbidden Fruit: Russia's Uneasy Relationship with the US Dollar. Review of International Political Economy. Vol. 15. No. 3. P. 379–398.

33. Kanet R.E., Kolodziej E.A. (eds) (1991). The Cold War as Cooperation. Superpower Cooperation in Regional Conflict Management. Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press. 439 p.

34. Karaganov S.A. (2019). Predskazuemoe budushchee? Kak samoobman podmenil ser'eznyj analiz [Predictable Future? How self-deception has replaced serious analysis]. Rossiya v global'noj politike. No. 2. P. 58–72.

35. Keohane R. O. (1986). Reciprocity in International Relations. International Organization. Vol. 40. No. 1. P. 1–27.

36. Keohane R.O., Nye J.S. (1977). Power and Interdependence: World Politics in Transition. New York and London: Longman. 273 p.

37. Keohane R. O., Nye J. S. (1987). Power and Interdependence Revisited. International Organization. Vol. 41. No. 4. P. 725–753.

38. Koh H. Н. (2019). Trump Change: Unilateralism and the “Disruption Myth” in International Trade. Yale Journal of International Law Online. URL.: https://cpb-us-w2.wpmucdn.com/campuspress.yale.edu/dist/8/1581/files/2019/02/11_Koh_YJIL-Symposium_Epilogue_Trump-Change_02.05.19-2kfkph2.pdf

39. Kosolapov N.A. (2008). Porogovyj uroven’ i veroyatnost’ konflikta SSHA s Rossiej [Threshold and the probability of conflict of the U.S. with Russia]. Mezhdunarodnye protsessy. No. 3. P. 15–25.

40. Kuznetsova G.V., Podbiralina G.V. (2017). Tendentsii razvitiya vneshnej torgovli SSHA v 2015–2016 gody. Osobennosti vneshnetorgovykh svyazej s Rossiej [US Foreign Trade Trends in 2015–2016 Features of foreign trade relations with Russia]. Nacional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost’. Vol. 13. No. 3. P. 548–562.

41. Labarre F. (2007). Self-Interest and Cooperation: The Emergence of Multilateral Interdependence in Post-Conflict Eras. Connections. Vol. 6. No. 4. P. 82–94.

42. Lynch A. C. (2007) The Putin Succession and Russian Foreign Policy. The Brown Journal of World Affairs. Vol. 14. No. 1. P. 53–64.

43. March J.M., Olsen J.P. (2004). The logic of Appropriateness. In: The Oxford Handbook of Political Science. Oxford: Oxford University Press. P. 478–497.

44. Miller B. (1995). When Opponents Cooperate: Great Power Conflict and Collaboration in World Politics. The University of Michigan Press. 354 p.

45. Michalak S. J. (1979). Theoretical Perspectives for Understanding International Interdependence. World Politics. Vol. 32. No. 1. P. 136–150.

46. Nye J.R. (1987). Nuclear Learning and U.S. – Soviet Security Regimes. International Organization. Vol. 41. No. 3. P. 371–402.

47. Oneal G.R., Oneal F.H., Maoz Z., Russet B. (1996). The Liberal Peace: Interdependence, Democracy and International Conflict 1950-85. Journal of Conflict Resolution. Vol. 33. No. 1. P. 11–28.

48. Qingguo J. (2003). In Search of Absolutу Security: U.S. Nuclear Policy. In: Unilateralism and U.S. Foreign Policy. London: International Perspectives. P. 201–215.

49. Rana W. (2015). Theory of Complex Interdependence: A Comparative Analysis of Realist and Neoliberal Thoughts. International Journal of Business and Social Science. Vol. 6. No. 2. P. 290–297.

50. Raik K., Rácz A. (eds.) (2019). Post-Crimea Shift in EU-Russia Relations: From Fostering Interdependence to Managing Vulnerabilities. International Centre for Defence and Security. 319 p.

51. Reynolds P. A., McKinlay R. D. (1979). The Concept of Interdependence: Its Uses and Misuses. In: Goldmann K., Sjostedt G. (eds.) Power, Capabilities, Interdependence: Problems in the Study of International Influence. London: Sage. P. 141–166.

52. Rosecrance R., Stein A. (1973). Interdependence: Myth or Reality? World Politics. Vol. 26. No. 1. P. 1–27.

53. Rosenau J.N. (1988). Patterned Chaos in Global Life: Structure and Process in the Two Worlds of World Politics. International Political Science Review. Vol. 9. No. 4. P. 327–364.

54. Suslov D.V., Karaganov S.A. (2011). Otnosheniya Rossiya – SSHA posle "perezagruzki": na puti k novoj povestke dnya. Vzglyad iz Rossii [US-Russia Relations – USA after “Reset” Towards New Agenda]. In: Rossiya: strategiya dlya novogo mira. Sbornik dokladov Mezhdunarodnogo diskussionnogo kluba “Valdaj”. Moscow: HSE. P. 41–94.

55. Shakleina T.A. (2002). Rossiya i SSHA v novom mirovom poryadke [Russia and USA in the New World Order]. Moscow: ISKRAN. 442 p.

56. Shakleina T.A. (2013). Obshchnost' i razlichiya v strategiyah Rossii i SSHA [Commonalities and Divergences in Russian-American Relations]. Mezhdunarodnye protsessy. Vol. 11. No. 2 (33). P. 6–19.

57. Schelling Th. C. (1960). The Strategy of Conflict. Harvard University Press. 309 p.

58. Schelling Th. C. Halperin M. (1985). Strategy and Arms Control. Washington: Pergamon-Brassey’s. 149 p.

59. Smoun R., Kortunov A. (eds) (1991). Vzaimnaya bezopasnost': novyj podkhod k sovetsko-amerikanskim otnosheniyam [Mutual Security: New Approach to Soviet-American Relations]. Moscow: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. 422 p.

60. Solomon R., Gault A. (1977). The Interdependence of Nations: An Agenda for Research. A Report to the National Science Foundation. Washington D.C.: Brookings Institution. 127 p.

61. Stein A. (1980). The Politics of Linkage. World Politics. Vol. 33. No.1. P. 62–81.

62. Stent A E. (2014). The Limits of Partnership: U.S.-Russian Relations in the Twenty-First Century. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 355 p.

63. Tsygankov A.P. (2012). Russia-USA: on the way to a new model of interdependence. Russian International Affair Council. URL: https://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/analytics/russia-usa-on-theway-to-a-new-model-of-interdependence/

64. Tucker R.W. (1977). The Inequality of Nations. N.Y.: Basic Books. 214 p.

65. Van Epps G. (2013). Common Ground: U.S. and NATO Engagement with Russia in the Cyber Domain. Connections. Vol. 12. No. 4. P. 15–50.

66. Waltz K.N. (2000). The Structural Realism after the Cold War. International Security. Vol. 25. No. 1. P. 5–41.

67. Willet J.V. Levine H.S. (1976). Economic Interdependence and US-Soviet Relationship. In: Long Range US-USSR Competition – National Security Implications: Proceedings National Security Affairs Conference, July 12–14, Washington: National Defense University. P. 147–207.


Review

For citations:


Nadtochey Yu.I. Facets of Interdependency in Russia-US Relations. International Trends / Mezhdunarodnye protsessy. 2020;18(2):48-70. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17994/IT.2020.18.2.61.4

Views: 269


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 1728-2756 (Print)
ISSN 1811-2773 (Online)